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08OpinionMicah Reed · Opinion — The Open Table

We Did Everything Right. Where's the House?

I'm 26, I rent, and I did the list I was handed — school, work, savings, patience. The median first-time buyer in America now closes at 40, so here's the strongest case for the people on the other side of the door, the questions both sides already answered, the receipt the argument turns on, and the point my side owes.

Designed card — The Mother Lode. Every figure on it is from the article below.

My generation did everything it was told to do, and the house still moved out of reach.

I did the list. The list was supposed to end at a door of my own.

A homeowner protecting the value of the one asset a family owns isn't guarding a lottery ticket

Here's the other side at full strength, in its own best words. A house isn't a stock certificate for most owners. It's the one asset a family owns — the retirement account, the college fund, and the safety net rolled into one roof, bought with thirty years of payments. When an owner hears a plan that could shave value off that roof, the fear isn't greed. Fear for the one asset you've got is arithmetic, not cruelty — I'd feel it with my name on a deed.

Both parties built the shortage, and both parties' records say so. Town councils in blue cities and red suburbs vote down the apartment building, the duplex, and the smaller lot — zoning's the wall, and local voters from both parties defend it. National platforms in both parties praise building, and local permits tell the truer story. And when Washington helps buyers, the help bids prices up instead: a down-payment subsidy dropped into a market without enough homes raises what sellers can charge. Demand help without supply is a ladder pulled up by the people standing on the roof.

Both parties have already agreed a working town needs enough homes for the people who work in it

So here's the ladder — short questions the other side's already answered yes. Should a town have enough homes for the people who already work in it? The Realtors' own chief advocacy officer, Shannon McGahn, called inadequate supply "the root cause of the affordability crisis: inadequate housing supply" in November and asked for local zoning and permitting barriers to come down. Should a homeowner's kids get a real shot at living in the town they grew up in? Ask any owner in America and you'll get a yes before the coffee cools. Should help for buyers arrive with homes for the help to buy? Both parties have run on that logic for years. Story County, Iowa put up $100,000 and brought in more than $10 million to wire its rural homes, because the county treated a shortage as a building job.

Then the argument isn't whether to build. The argument's about where the building goes and who absorbs the change — and while that argument runs, a generation pays rent on the delay.

The median first-time buyer reached age 40 in 2025, and the median home costs five times the median household income

Here's the receipt — the number this column turns on. The National Association of Realtors' 2025 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers, published November 4, 2025, puts the median first-time buyer at 40 years old — the oldest the survey's ever recorded. In the 1980s, the typical first-time buyer was in their late 20s. First-timers fell to 21 percent of all buyers, a record low, against a pre-2008 norm of 40 percent. Harvard's Joint Center for Housing Studies, in The State of the Nation's Housing 2025, puts the median existing single-family home price at $412,500 in 2024 — five times the median household income, against a ratio of 3 the Center calls traditionally affordable. The Center counts the income a buyer needs for the median-priced home at $126,700, and reckons only 6 million of the nation's nearly 46 million renters can clear it. Delay carries a price tag, too: McGahn puts the equity cost of buying at 40 instead of 30 at roughly $150,000 on a typical starter home.

My generation crowded into a handful of expensive metros and bid against itself for the same few streets

Here's the point my side owes, by name: demand concentration. Too many of us chased the same handful of superstar metros — the same zip codes with the right skyline — and bid against each other for a fixed row of houses, while counties with open doors sat off our list. Remote work let some of us carry coastal salaries into smaller markets and outbid the people who'd grown up there. That's ours. A generation that complains about scarcity doesn't get to pretend its own stampede played no part in the price of the streets it stampeded into.

My test for every housing idea is the country test, and it's two questions. Does it work for the country — not one coast, not one party, the whole map? And can a 26-year-old build a life under it — a lease that ends in equity, a town that lets a starter home get started? A policy that fails either question fails, whoever signs it. I'm not asking for a handout, and I'm not asking anybody to feel sorry for renters. I'm asking the country to keep the deal it described to us in homeroom: do the list, get the door.

Sources

  • National Association of Realtors, "First-Time Home Buyer Share Falls to Historic Low of 21%, Median Age Rises to 40" (November 4, 2025) — opened in full: first-time share at a record low of 21 percent; median first-time-buyer age 40, an all-time high; repeat-buyer median age 62; first-time median down payment 10 percent; Jessica Lautz on the share contracting by 50 percent since 2007; Shannon McGahn on the root cause as inadequate housing supply, on streamlining local zoning and permitting barriers, and on delayed ownership until 40 instead of 30 costing roughly $150,000 in equity on a typical starter home. https://www.nar.realtor/press-releases/first-time-home-buyer-share-falls-to-historic-low-of-21-median-age-rises-to-40
  • National Association of Realtors, 2025 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers, highlights (November 4, 2025) — opened in full: "The median age of first-time buyers is now 40. In the 1980s, the typical first-time home buyer was in their late 20s"; first-time share at a historic low of 21 percent against a pre-2008 historical norm of 40 percent; successful first-time buyers citing high rent and student loans as the foremost costs holding back saving. https://www.nar.realtor/sites/default/files/2025-11/2025-profile-of-home-buyers-and-sellers-highlights-11-04-2025.pdf?mod=ANLink&utm=
  • Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, "New Report Highlights Unease in the Housing Market Amid a Worsening Affordability Crisis" — the Center's release for The State of the Nation's Housing 2025, opened in full: home prices up 60 percent nationwide since 2019; median existing single-family home price $412,500 in 2024, "five times the median household income" (Daniel McCue), against a price-to-income ratio of 3 traditionally considered affordable; monthly mortgage payment on the median-priced home $2,570 under terms typical for first-time buyers; income of at least $126,700 needed to afford it; only 6 million of the nation's nearly 46 million renters able to meet that benchmark; existing home sales at a 30-year low. https://www.jchs.harvard.edu/press-releases/new-report-highlights-unease-housing-market-amid-worsening-affordability-crisis
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